We covered the 3 basic types of NFL wagering in our article How To Bet NFL Games Online and one of the methods that we would like to go into more detail about is NFL over/under wagering.
When you are starting to wager online, understanding how the spread or moneyline bets works in sports betting can seem confusing. But don’t fret over this because totals or the over/under wager is so simple.
Here’s How it Works. You are actually working only with the total combine points scored by both teams. The vegas bookmakers are the ones who set a “totals” line which forecast the cumulative points that they think are going to be scored by both teams in a given game.
Your job is to predict whether the actual number of points scored by the two teams combined will end up being OVER or UNDER the total line that the bookmakers have set.
Most of the time you will know whether you have won a wager before the game has ended. Let’s say that you have bet the “over” on a game and both team’s defense forgot to show up and the offense has a field day on both sides of the ball …. you’ve won easily.
In games like this the team’s total combine points can probably go over the bookmaker’s predicted total before the 4th quarter has ended. This can be sweet for the over bettors but a bummer for the under bettors.
The Popularity of Over/Under NFL Betting
Another reason that over/under betting is more rewarding to players is that you are not forced to choose a team and therefore you don’t have to worry about covering a spread or sitting on pins and needles hoping the team you pick wins the game. You are only concerned about the total points scored for the game.
Another factor is that bettors aren’t required to know detailed information about the individual players. The statistics are easily to crunch when you are researching whether a team has a strong defense or a poor defense or if either team has a powerhouse offense.
How Does The Vegas Wise Guys Set NFL Betting Totals
The best part about NFL totals betting is that you don’t have to do a ton of number crunching or spending Saturday night pouring over tons of data – the Vegas bookmakers have already done it for you.
The process used by the bookmaker’s in setting the over/under totals line includes the following:
- history of the teams during previous matchups
- first down conversions
- completions and interceptions
- rushing yardage
- field goal completion percentages
These are just a few of the factors that the bookmaker’s use and this gives you an idea of the amount of research that goes into setting the total’s line.
Also totals betting is simple, forecasting NFL totals is not an exact science and keep in mind that there is a greater degree of uncertainty when betting NFL over/unders. And because of this fact this spells great profit opportunities for the smart over/under bettors.
Over/Under NFL Betting is by far one of the best wagers to make when looking to make a good profit. Always follow your gut instinct …. it’s usually the right one.